Bern, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – Swiss exports were up 3.3 percent in nominal terms (-0.6 in real terms) in February, to CHF13.9 billion, and for the first time since 2008 they rose for most business sectors. Imports slipped and trade for the first two months of 2010 shows opposite trends, with exports up 1.3 percent but imports down by 2.4 percent. The balance of trade at the end of February was positive, at CHF1.3 billion.
Chinese imports for January rose by 86 percent compared to the same month a year earlier, and exports rose by 21 percent, the second month showing an increase after a year’s stalemate. The overall trade increase of more than 44 percents comes as some figures are showing China to be the world’s largest exporter. The Chinese impact on the world economic rebound “may reinforce overseas calls for China to allow a stronger currency,” reports Bloomberg.
Exports, port of Basel
Update 11:40 Bern, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – Switzerland officially moved out of recession in the third quarter of 2009, Bern announced Tuesday 1 December. Real GDP (gross domestic product) was up 0.3 percent compared to the previous quarter. Private consumption (+0.6 percent) and building investments both grew, and healthcare plus the financial and insurance industries also rose. Investments were up “massively”, with industrial goods investments rising by 5.5 percent.
The government’s own “consumption expenditure” rose by 1.3 percent.
Exports of goods and services both climbed, by 2.2 and 0.3 percent respectively, for the first time “after a considerable one-year slide” the government statement reports.
Japan’s trade surplus reached 521 billion yen in September, about 472 percent more than a year ago, but it still disappointed analysts. Exports were down 30.7 percent compared to a year earlier, but in August that figure reached 36 percent, according to figures released by the Japanese Finance Ministry Thursday 22 October.
The Japanese yen has increased in value against all major currencies this year, making Japanese goods more expensive for foreigners.
Imports were down almost 37 percent in the month, with crude oil imports down 2.4 percent over the year, reflecting depressed demand at home. Bloomberg, Romandie News
China has begun supplying oil to Iran in the past month and already accounts for one-third of the country’s fuel imports, the Financial Times reports. Oil imports are not part of a United Nations sanction and the supplies are legal, but the move comes as G20 world leaders, meeting in New York Wednesday 23 September, discuss enforcing sanctions against Iran to discourage it from further developing its nuclear programme. Iran insists the nuclear programme is for peaceful purposes, as a source of energy, and that it is not building bombs. The country is one of the world’s largest oil producers, but its aging system is inefficient and it imports 120,000 barrels a day, according to the FT. China agreed in 2004 to purchase oil from Iran and to invest in its system. The $100 billion deal in 2006 prompted concern in the US, with observers saying that China appeared to be rushing to sign the deal ahead of sanctions. In the latest twist to the story China’s oil replaces that from companies such as BP which have stopped supplying Iran. Washington Post, 2006, Brookings Institution editorial, July 2009
Source: Swiss customs office (click on image to view larger)
Bern, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – Several economic indicators published by the Swiss federal government Tuesday 21 September show an economy still in the doldrums, but with the outlook slightly more optimistic than in August 2009. Exports are down and imports are down by an even larger percentage, the economy is stabilizing but will remain “sluggish” in 2010 and unemployment is high. The good news: while the picture is still gloomy, it’s getting a little brighter.
GDP growth positive, if only slightly, in 2010
The government’s economic advisory “Expert Group” released its latest quarterly projections, which include a “weaker decline” of GDP (gross domestic product), from -2.7 percent expected in June to -1.7 percent forecast now. The group now expects positive GDP growth in 2010 of 0.4 percent rather than the -0.4 percent projected earlier. Private consumption and building investment are holding relatively steady, which is helping Switzerland to have a recession less dramatic than in many countries, although 2009 will go down as the worst year since 1975 for GDP decline.
China’s industrial output grew by 12 percent in August, a 12-month high and better than forecast by the government, which was looking for 10 percent growth. Foreign trade – exports and imports combined – were $91.7 billion, down 20.6 percent compared to August 2008 but a 2.3 percent increase from July.
Other key economic data published by the government’s statistics office Friday included:
- urban fixed asset investment is up 33 percent for the first eight months of the year
- new loans in yuan in rose from Yuan36 billion in July to Yuan410b in August
- the consumer price index fell by 1.2 percent and the producer price index fell by 7.9 percent, both as compared to a year earlier, but the rate of decline is slowing.
Geneva, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – World trade rebounded sharply in the second quarter, according to World Trade Organization (WTO) figures just released. World exports (which are also world imports) increased by 7.7 percent in the second quarter of 2009, compared with the first quarter, and reached $2.88 trillion in the second quarter, up 6.6 percent overall.
The answer to the question of who is the world’s leading exporter was announced 8 September by the German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). China’s export figures for July are $105,420 billion, an increase of 10.4 percent over June’s figures. Germany announced that exports were € 70.5 billion, or $102,155b. This is an unadjusted increase of 6.6 percent from June 2009. Both countries were neck-and-neck in June.
Quarterly world merchandise export developments, 2005-09 (2005Q1=100, in current US dollars), WTO
All of the WTO reporting regions show a rebound in the first quarter.
Bern, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – Switzerland’s foreign trade in July remained in the doldrums after a sharp drop in the first half of the year. Imports were down 14 percent in real terms, compared to last year, and a little lower than in June 2009. Exports too were lower than in 2008 by 15.1 percent, an improvement on June’s 22.3 percent drop year-on-year drop. Overall the trade balance was slightly positive in July at CHF 2.35 billion, an increase of 0.1 percent over July 2008. The figures were released by the Swiss Federal Customs Administration (SFCA).
Neuchatel, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – Prices for goods produced in Switzerland remained stable, down only negligibly and prices of imported goods were also stable, with only a very slight rise in July, the Swiss Statistical Office said Friday 14 August. This is the second month in a row that prices have remained stable. Prices are down 6.1 percent overall year on year, compared to July 2008, but the main reason is a significant drop in the price of oil compared to 12 months earlier.
China, faced with a 55 percent tariff on tires imported into the United States, is asking the US for a “fair ruling” on the proposed import restrictions that have resulted from a petition filed in the US by the Steelworkers Union, for import relief. The proposed tariff, which would drop to 45 and then 35 percent in the second and third years, is being closely watched as a protectionism test case for US President Barack Obama, who is expected to rule on the matter in mid-September. China argues that its tires are mainly replacement tires and are complementary, not competitive, with tires made in the US. A Rutgers University study in the US indicates that for every job saved in the US by tire import tariffs, another 12-25 could be lost. Xhinhua, Reuters, Tire Business, US
Bern, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – The Swiss government said Tuesday 23 June in announcing trade figures for May that there is “not a glimmer of hope on the horizon” with both exports and imports down by one-fifth. Seven out of 10 export businesses showed drops of 22 to 39 percent. Imports of energy, raw materials and semi-finished products all fell by one-third, reflecting the decline in orders. The May figures confirm the downward trend for the first four months of the year.
Zurich, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – The outlook for the Swiss economy is gloomier than initially believed, says economiesuisse in its latest forecast, published Monday 14 June, which predicts a fall of 2.9 percent in GDP (gross domestic product) for 2009 and another drop of 0.8 percent in 2010. It expects prices to remain stable but internal consumption to be weak, with unemployment growing to 4 percent in 2009 and 5.3 percent in 2010.
Bern, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – Switzerland’s foreign trade, both exports and imports, in February continued the slump that began in December 2008. The trade balance fell to half the figure of a year ago, down to a positive balance of CHF731 million.
All industries were hit by the slump, with imports and exports down by double-digit numbers: 17.3 percent and 13.7 percent respectively. Even the watch industry, which has withstood slumps seen earlier in other industries, was hit hard by a 22.4 percent fall in exports.
Bern, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) - The Swiss trade balance in January was positive, CHF2 billion, but it continued its “downward spiral,” the federal government in Bern announced Thursday 19 February. Trade with the European Union in particular suffered, with flat trade, both imports and exports.
Neuchatel, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – The price of goods in Switzerland, both imported and Swiss-produced, fell in January 2009 by 0.8% compared to December 2008, and at an annual rate prices fell for the first time since 2004, by 0.9%. The lower prices of petrol and metal products were key factors in the fall.
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Bern, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – At first glance Switzerland’s trade figures for 2008 are startling: a record positive trade balance of CHF20 million, with exports up 4.6% for the year and imports up 1.8%. Exports for the first time were more than CHF200 billion.
Bern, Switzerland (GenevaLunch) – The Swiss trade balance remains in the black at CHF2.2 billion but November showed a significant falling off of both imports and exports, notably in trade with the European Union.
